
GUIDES & TOOLS / ROUTEMAP
Executive summary
The market for AI is expanding rapidly, and its use in the supply chain can lead to big improvements in efficiency and performance.
Key focus areas include inventory management, operational efficiency, and optimising logistics, along with others such as sustainability and supplier engagement.
Careful planning – including identifying areas where AI could have the biggest impact and setting out a realistic roadmap – can aid implementation.
Consider whether an off-the-shelf or custom-made solution is most appropriate and continue to monitor the technology to maintain high performance.
AI-generated
AI and its potential for SMBs
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has proven to be nothing short of revolutionary, and as generative AI continues to drive the technology forward its impact is being felt in many areas of life – including business.
The growth is set to continue. The overall market size for AI is tipped to reach $826.73 billion by 2030, a huge leap on the expected $243.72 billion for 2025.1
It’s important to realise that AI is not just for big companies. Of course, the amount you can afford to invest depends greatly on the size of your business, but the truth is that AI technology is readily available to smaller businesses too.
Yet figures show that there’s still plenty of scope for SMBs to adopt AI on a greater scale. In 2024, only 11% of small enterprises (10-49 employees) in the EU were using it anywhere in their business, as were just 21% of medium enterprises (50-249 employees).2 Those figures compare to over 40% of large enterprises (250 or more employees).
For those that are integrating AI, it can make a big difference – and supply chains are a key area where businesses can benefit from a host of improvements, including more accurate forecasting, lower costs, more efficient logistics, better supplier management and greater sustainability.
With the market for AI in the supply chain due to grow from $9.15 billion in 2024 to $40.53 billion by 2030, it’s clear that a lot of businesses are expected to take advantage.3 If you want yours to be one of them, here are some essential ways in which AI could help:
More accurate inventory management
If your business is like many other SMBs, you may still be battling with time-consuming inventory management processes and forecasting tools that can leave you feeling behind the game instead of ahead of it.
AI can help to change this, and at the heart of it is that it can lead to people making better decisions. One area where this is apparent is in demand forecasting. AI can analyse historical data and market trends to provide more accurate forecasts, helping businesses to reduce costly inventory missteps. Similar processes can be used to optimise warehouse stock levels and restocking processes, helping to avoid being under or over-stocked. Research shows that AI can reduce forecasting errors by up to 50%, and cut the number of sales lost due to inventory shortages by 65%.4
More effective supplier engagement
Finding the right supplier – and then working with them successfully – can be a minefield, with SMBs needing to navigate the choppy waters of reliability, production abilities, and overall ease of doing business.
AI tools can aid the way you work with suppliers in several ways, from streamlining communications to helping choose the best businesses to work with. For the latter, it is able to analyse huge volumes of data to help identify the most suitable suppliers, cutting down often lengthy timeframes.5 But it goes beyond just finding partners that can meet your needs.
AI can also assess the reliability and quality of suppliers, which can help you to make better decisions on who to contract with – reducing risk and boosting confidence.6 And in addition, AI is able to improve working relationships with suppliers, enhancing speed and clarity of communications by doing everything from submitting purchase orders to answering queries and negotiating price discounts.7
Greater operational efficiency
It’s easy to find operational efficiency clogged up by time-consuming tasks, laborious processes and unforeseen events that can hurt schedules and drain resources.
So, many businesses are turning to AI to find solutions, with the technology able to deliver supply chain efficiencies in a variety of areas to reduce disruption and lower costs. Automation of routine tasks, for instance invoice processing and label generation, is one way it can this, with the technology rapidly accelerating the processes and cutting down on both the time taken and any manual errors that can occur.
Another way is when AI is used to enable predictive maintenance. By utilising data from sensors and other sources, AI technology can build effective maintenance schedules for equipment and spot potential problems in real time, addressing needs proactively while reducing downtime and lost revenue.8
Optimised logistics
Disruptions to supply chains can play havoc with production schedules and customer deliveries, but with a lot of factors out of the business’s direct control it can be hard to mitigate potential problems.
AI can help and do so in a variety of ways. One of which is in playing a key role in plotting the best shipping routes for supplies. By more effectively evaluating historical and real-time data, it’s able to identify potential disruptions and suggest alternate routes.9 It can also factor in trade agreements, tariffs, customs barriers and shipping costs to formulate optimum strategies, while last-mile deliveries can be enhanced with real-time adjustments that take into account factors such as traffic conditions, weather and delivery priorities.10
And it’s not just transportation. Warehouses can also be made more efficient through AI. By arranging the most effective layouts and plotting optimal routes for workers, businesses can cut the time it takes to move goods around the facility while also accelerating fulfilment rates.11
Improved sustainability
Many SMBs are striving to reduce their environmental impact, fuelled not only by their own desires but also to address consumer concerns and stay ahead of regulatory requirements. And with supply chains making up a big chunk of the footprint, they’re a key area to target.
AI can be used in several ways to help make supply chains more sustainable. For instance, the technology can help businesses to evaluate the carbon footprint of the chain and analyse whether potential partners have the ethical credentials they are looking for.12 Research shows that companies have seen a 20% increase in sustainable vendor partnerships after using AI to analyse supplier data, while predictive analytics can reportedly cut overproduction by 35% – saving on energy use and reducing waste.13
Optimised transport routes also help increase sustainability within the supply chain through reductions in fuel usage and emissions, while AI can be used to monitor energy usage within production facilities and elsewhere, spotting inefficiencies and recommending solutions.14
Five ways to optimise your own AI strategy
If you’re looking to AI as a way of enhancing your current set-up, there are some key steps to consider that could help you to optimise your results.
1. Review your current processes
Before starting with AI or adapting your system, it’s a good idea to analyse your supply chain to find out if any bottlenecks are occurring or where any problematic issues keep arising. This will help you to see where AI could add the most value and could be a better option than trying to integrate AI into everything at once. Depending on your business, likely functions to consider could include those critical to success such as business planning, production scheduling and inventory management – high-value areas where AI can improve the speed and accuracy of decision-making and generate a strong return on investment.15
2. Plan your strategy
Once you’ve reviewed your current situation, and discovered the areas where AI could bring the most benefit, it’s important to plan out how you’re going to address it. Prioritising what to do first is a good first step, then build a roadmap outlining how you’ll do it. It’s worth considering the ease of implementation of potential solutions, and where you may be able to gain some quick wins.16 Then, outline a realistic timeline with clear goals to hit along the way.
3. Find your solution
When building AI into your operations, there’s often a choice between developing a bespoke system or buying a third-party off-the-shelf solution. The correct path will depend on the size of your business, its requirements, and the amount of resources available. Custom-made AI solutions offer greater flexibility and are tailored to your business’s needs but are generally more expensive to implement and can require greater technical expertise. Off-the-shelf products can be more cost-effective and deployed more quickly, but can lack flexibility and may not be able to cater to very specific business needs.17
Whatever you decide, it’s important to remember that the quality of the data used in the system is imperative. The outputs an AI system delivers are only as good as the information it is trained on, so make sure yours is high quality and available to whatever AI tools you are working with.
What does high quality data mean in practice? Well there are several components but four good things to focus on are: accuracy – data that is correct and error-free; complete – data that contains all the necessary information; consistent – data that doesn’t contradict itself; and timely – data that is up-to-date.18 It’s also worth ensuring that data isn’t duplicated in the system and that the information confirms to the required format for it.
4. Work with your employees
Change can be hard. A new AI system could mean some of your employees needing to do their jobs in a different way, and some will also need to be trained how to use the new technology. It’s important to factor these things into your process.
Communication is key, so set out a clear plan to tell your employees what’s happening. It’s also worth considering how much downtime will be required while they acquire their new skills.19
5. Monitor and adapt your strategy
AI relies on accurate, up-to-date information, so it’s essential to make sure you monitor your system to ensure it continues to deliver what you need it to. Make adjustments where necessary, using real-time insights to optimise the systems and maximise performance against your key metrics.20
Continuing your business’s AI journey
Adding AI to the supply chain can bring many benefits in terms of costs, efficiency and overall performance, and can help to provide resilience too. But there are other things you can do as well to strengthen the supply chain. For more details, you can watch our animation on mitigating supply chain risk. And remember, whether or not you are implementing AI, it’s important to consider how any technology you introduce will work alongside other aspects of your business. For examples of software that can integrate easily with your shipping services, check out the range of FedEx Compatible solutions.
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page does not constitute legal, tax, finance, accounting, or trade advice, but is designed to provide general information relating to business and commerce. The FedEx Small Business Hub content, information, and services are not a substitute for obtaining the advice of a competent professional, for example (but not limited to) a licensed attorney, law firm, accountant, or financial adviser.
1 Artificial Intelligence – Worldwide | Statista, 2025
2 Use of artificial intelligence in enterprises | Eurostat, 2025
3 AI in Supply Chain Market worth $40.53 billion by 2030 | MarketsandMarkets, 2024
4 10 ways artificial intelligence is transforming operations management | IBM, 2024
5 AI in procurement | CIPS
6 10 of the best ways to use AI in procurement | CPOstrategy, 2023
7 AI in Procurement: Benefits and Use Cases | Oracle, 2025
8 AI For Supply Chain Optimization: Predictive Maintenance | AIM Consulting
9 7 generative AI use cases in supply chain | TechTarget, 2024
10 How supply chains benefit from using generative AI | EY, 2024
11 Benefits of AI in the Supply Chain | Oracle, 2024
12 The unique role of SMEs and supply chains in charting a positive future | UN Global Compact, 2025
13 The unique role of SMEs and supply chains in charting a positive future | UN Global Compact, 2025
14 AI for greener supply chains | AB Magazine, 2023
15 How GenAI Reimagines Supply Chain Management | BCG, 2024
16 What is AI in supply chain management? | SAP, 2024
17 Custom AI Software vs Off-the-shelf Artificial Intelligence Solution: The Difficulty of Choice | Integrio Systems
18 Understanding Data Quality: Ensuring Accuracy, Reliability, and Consistency | Enterprise Big Data Framework, 2024
19 What is AI in supply chain? | IBM, 2024
20 What is AI in supply chain management? | SAP, 2024